The analysis, which reviewed the available research and used a mathematical model for its projections, concluded that increasing the minimum legal age to 21 would decrease smoking initiation rates by 25 percent among 15- to 17-year-olds, while other age groups up to 21 years old would see smaller but significant decreases
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In addition, the proportional decline in daily cigarette use is larger for younger age groups than older: between 1980 and 2022-23, the average number of cigarettes smoked daily declined by 53% among 18-24-year-olds, 57% among 25-29-year-olds, 53% among 30-39-year-olds, 37% among 40-49-year-olds, and 21% among those aged 60 years and older
